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P4a(B1), P5a, P7a, P9a (B2)

YE Yumna Elsobky
DN David Nganwa
GA Gamal El Afandi
AB Ahmed Byomi
GR Gopal Reddy
EA Ehsan Abdalla
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how effective the active surveillance is, in detecting infected poultry and remove them from population. P4 (B1), P5, P7, P9 (B2): active surveillance cannot detect 100% of infection, still there is infection that cannot be detected by active surveillance. This failure is due to problems in coverage or in availability of adequate funding.

The input parameters in this study are independent events of each other, the occurrence of one of the events gives us no information about whether or not the other event will occur; that is, the events have no influence on each other. Therefore, the value of the product (P x P2 x P3 x P4) is for the likelihood of poultry still having a high period prevalence of HPAI-H5N1 (P) due to the failure of the independent mitigation strategies.

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