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The 45 and Up Study questionnaire data included self-report information on key potential confounders and mediating factors including: baseline age; sex; marital status; born in Australia; Indigenous status; current housing; household income; education level; smoking history, intensity and age stopping; alcohol use; physical activity33; time spent sitting; body mass index; psychological distress34; level of limitation reported; social support35; socioeconomic status36; and Accessibility/Remoteness Index of Australia.37 Covariate categories are provided in online supplementary file 1.

bmjopen-2018-027158supp001.pdf

Comorbidity was ascertained using the Multipurpose Australian Comorbidity Scoring System,38 defined as the sum of comorbidities excluding diabetes at 1 and 5 years prior to study entry. We also used the PBS data to calculate the Rx-Risk index (ie, number of condition groups excluding diabetes for which medicines were dispensed) at 1 and 5 years prior to entry to the study period.39

Health service use during and prior to the study period was captured in several ways. The number of GP and specialist physician visits 4 years before and during the study period was ascertained separately using MBS data. The frequency of contact was captured as: (1) a count of the number of days each person had a GP or specialist physician contact and (2) the SD of the annual count of days with a contact during the ascertainment period. Variables also captured if participants had a PBS records for any diabetes-related medicines, hospitalisations for dialysis, MBS diabetes cycle of care claim40 and other chronic disease related MBS-funded primary care services or glycosylated haemoglobin (HbA1c) testing during or in the 4 years prior to the study period. Finally, the number of unplanned diabetes-related hospitalisations and ED presentations in the 3 years prior to study entry was also included as a potential confounding factor.

To reduce ascertainment bias, the method (ie, self-report only, APDC only, PBS only or combinations of the three) and first year the individual who identified as having diabetes was entered into the model. In addition, a binary variable was used to determine if the participant died during the 6 years of the study period. Person-time at risk of the outcome event was included in the count models.

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