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A decision-analysis model was developed in Microsoft Excel to determine the cost effectiveness of measles containment strategies compared with a less intense ‘modified response’ strategy. The model incorporated acute measles infection, short-term sequelae and long-term sequelae over a lifetime time horizon (Figure 1). The model considered the population from the two Ontario outbreak regions: Toronto (n = 2,839,176) and Niagara Region (n = 447,967).
Simplified schematic of decision-analysis model, cost-effectiveness study of measles control, Ontario, Canada, 2015
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